Turkey Hatchery
ISSN: 1949-1964
Released August 13, 2020, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA).
Eggs in Incubators on August 1 Down 8 Percent from Last Year
Turkey eggs in incubators on August 1, 2020 in the United States totaled
26.9 million, down 8 percent from August 1, 2019. Eggs in incubators were
down 3 percent from the July 1, 2020 total of 27.7 million eggs.
Poults Hatched During July Down 7 Percent from Last Year
Turkey poults hatched during July 2020 in the United States totaled
23.5 million, down 7 percent from July 2019. Poults hatched were down
2 percent from the June 2020 total of 23.9 million poults.
Net Poults Placed During July Down 7 Percent from Last Year
The 22.7 million net poults placed during July 2020 in the United States were
down 7 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier.
Net poult placements were down slightly from the June 2020 total of
22.8 million.
Eggs in Incubators and Poults Hatched by Month - United States: 2018-2020
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Eggs in incubators :Percent of: Poults hatched :Percent of
: first of month : previous : entire month : previous
Month :---------------------: year :---------------------: year
: : : : : :
:2018-2019 :2019-2020 : :2018-2019 :2019-2020 :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: --- 1,000 eggs -- percent 1,000 poults percent
:
September ........: 27,532 26,666 97 22,443 22,464 100
October ..........: 28,750 29,327 102 24,296 24,905 103
November .........: 30,418 26,958 89 24,405 22,325 91
December .........: 28,492 26,464 93 23,134 22,655 98
January ..........: 27,984 28,820 103 24,563 23,879 97
February .........: 27,204 28,209 104 22,495 22,566 100
March ............: 28,048 27,980 100 23,881 23,729 99
April ............: 28,212 27,922 99 24,198 23,461 97
May ..............: 28,189 27,274 97 23,598 21,562 91
June .............: 27,989 28,540 102 22,845 23,940 105
July .............: 28,990 27,718 96 25,233 23,482 93
August ...........: 29,345 26,930 92 24,189
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net Poult Placements by Month - United States: 2018-2020
[Includes imports and excludes exports. Blank data cells indicate estimation period
has not yet begun]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Total all :Percent of: Cumulative :Percent of
: breeds : previous : total : previous
Month :---------------------: year :---------------------: year
: : : : : :
:2018-2019 :2019-2020 : :2018-2019 :2019-2020 :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 poults percent -- 1,000 poults -- percent
:
September ........: 20,152 20,125 100 20,152 20,125 100
October ..........: 22,546 21,857 97 42,698 41,982 98
November .........: 21,150 20,199 96 63,848 62,181 97
December .........: 20,392 20,216 99 84,240 82,397 98
January ..........: 22,105 21,414 97 106,345 103,811 98
February .........: 20,987 20,663 98 127,332 124,474 98
March ............: 22,128 21,741 98 149,460 146,215 98
April ............: 22,982 22,053 96 172,442 168,268 98
May ..............: 21,656 19,559 90 194,098 187,827 97
June .............: 21,909 22,764 104 216,007 210,591 97
July .............: 24,312 22,698 93 240,319 233,289 97
August ...........: 22,709 263,028
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all
known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS regional field offices maintain a
list of all known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to
update their lists. Approximately 45 hatcheries in 20 states are contacted
each month. All known turkey hatcheries hatching 15,000 or more poults
annually are mailed a questionnaire as close to the first of the month as
possible. Adequate time is given to respond via mail, fax, or electronic data
reporting. Those that do not respond are contacted by phone. Care is
exercised to ensure that all hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate.
Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive
the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values.
Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and
to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated
based on similar operations or historical data. NASS regional field offices
prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and
historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural
Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to
State, regional, and United States totals. Only United States level estimates
are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult
Placement data include imported poults and exclude exported poults.
Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August
31 are shown in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report. This time period
corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be
available for slaughter during the calendar year.
Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected
data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly Turkey
Hatchery report, while annual revisions are published in the Hatchery
Production - Annual Summary report in April.
Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known
operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However,
estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes
in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot
be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in
the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data
for consistency and reasonableness.
To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table.
The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past
performance and is computed using the differences between first and final
estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the
first day of the month over the past 24 months is 2.5 percent. This means
that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or
below the current estimate of 26.9 million eggs by more than 2.5 percent.
Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 4.2 percent.
Reliability of August Turkey Hatchery Estimates
[Based on data for the past 24 months]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate
:square error : confidence : : : : :
: : level :------------------------------------------------------
Item : : : : : : Months
: : : : : :---------------------------
: : :Average :Smallest:Largest :Below latest :Above latest
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent percent -------- 1,000 ------- ---- number ----
:
Eggs in incubators ................: 2.5 4.2 460 1 2,201 18 6
:
Poults hatched ....................: 1.8 3.1 222 1 1,913 11 13
:
Net poult placements ..............: 2.4 4.2 353 1 1,884 18 6
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may
be sent to nass@usda.gov
Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ..................................... (202) 692-0069
Tony Dorn, Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section .................. (202) 690-3223
Holly Brenize - Poultry Slaughter......................................... (202) 720-0585
Alissa Cowell-Mytar - Cold Storage, Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses .. (202) 720-4751
Liana Cuffman - Catfish and Trout, Mink, Census of Aquaculture ........... (202) 720-8784
Fatema Haque - Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised ........................... (202) 690-3244
Adam Peters - Honey, Honey Bee Colonies .................................. (202) 690-4870
Autumn Stone - Layers, Eggs, Egg Products ................................ (202) 690-3676
Takiyah Walker - Broiler Hatchery, Chicken Hatchery ...................... (202) 720-6147
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